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Thursday, February 25, 2010

Some good that did me...

....a 'good' entry level turned bad on more REALLY bad Greek news. -90 pips

People are going to start throwing their Euro's in the trash soon.

Short (lightly) @ .8831

Stop: .8900

Target: .8700

UPDATE: added to short @ .8867

moving target on 1st lot to .8820 for +10 & leaving net stop/limit in tact

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Position adjustment

I was able to get another fill @ .8905 just before the rally to .8950ish. Dumped the higher entry for -60pips around there as well.

Now I have a much better entry level.

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Addition

I've added to the position @ .8890 in hopes the pair's oversold. The stops not too far off, so things aren't looking too promising. A sharp bounce would be welcomed with open arms :)

Friday, February 19, 2010

Slightly Contrarian

The market is still predominantly short AUDUSD, so in the spirit of Interbank stop hunting on Tokyo Sunday I'm going to try to front run some of that action. Very small size to allow for a wide stop.

E: .8975

S: .8835

T: .9235

~.8% account at risk

Quite the retrace...

Closed the second half of the position just ahead of the entry level for +3 pips.

That's the way the cookie crumbles in FX. Although not what I was shooting for in terms of profit, I can't complain having ended the week positive.

On the trading wires I follow, many a trader were screaming margin-call and such on the drop yesterday. Being on the right side of that move was the key to the week. Most of the rest of the time was spent wiggling without much conviction.

Have a great weekend!

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Trade Adjustment

The Fed's interest rate news allowed for a partial exit @ .8847 .

The low on the move was around .8920 which there are rumored to be large bids located. Price seemed to confirm this by bouncing from that level.

Original stop & target remain for the 2nd half of the position.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Big Gold News

Rumor has it China's going to be dumping lots of gold.

Extending downside target to .8780 . Taking half profits at original target of .8850 if reached.

EURJPY Trade Closed

An intraday idea which didn't pan out to well. 125 was never able to be broken, and there's some USD strength rearing it's head right now. Hopefully that'll put some tailwinds on my AUD trade.

+18 pips

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

EURJPY Long

E: 124.30

S: 123.60

T: 125.60

New Week

The EURAUD position was stopped out just recently. Too bad, I was hoping for an 'investment' at historical lows.

The Aussie's been on a roll correcting some of it's down-trend and I think it's about time for it to resume. It's already up 1% for the day and I'm counting on some jitters creeping into the market. I'm taking a small intraday play short.

E: .8980

S: .9050

T: .8850

Thursday, February 11, 2010

Great week so far...

Currently short (very small) AUDUSD @ .8880

S: .8915

T: .8815

Also, the EURAUD pair is at VERY significant support. I think it's a good doomsday-hedge trade. Should all this Greece stuff send us in a tailspin, chances are the Euro's still safer than a small economy like Oz. Should the Greek worries abate, the Euro could see some recovery, and with a lot of Oz cheer already baked in the cake, maybe the Euro can gain some ground. I have a limit at the moon for now, to be adjusted as the trade progresses.

E: 1.5432

S: 1.5232

T: 1.8000

%AR: 1%

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

One Big Trade...

...three little trades.

+82 (previously mentioned below)

+94

+105

TOTAL: +281 pips

A great week already, thanks to pretty stellar Australian employment figures which came out tonight at 19:30EST. I have a buy order to re-enter @ .8780, although I could see the market consolidating this huge surprise for the rest of the week.

Scalp Time

E: .8750

S: .8715

T: .8815


Cititechs went long AUD so we'll see if we can ride the coat-tails a bit.

Re-Saddle

...we'll treat the quick case of the jitters as a short trade which made a profit of +10 pips.

In, other words, same parameters as before.


.8721/.8550/.8950

Sold to Close

@ .8731 for +82 pips


I have a buy stop @ .8790 in case we rip back.

Otherwise I'm going to keep the profits and stalk a better entry/new bias.

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Trade Adjustment

Since this idea has worked in my favor, I'm reigning in the stop and the raising the target for a decent r/r ratio.


Stop: .8550

Target: .8950

Monday, February 8, 2010

Reversed Position

+16 pips on close.

E: 8649

S: 8450

T: 8850

Loose r/r for now, to build into. Bad news is getting less response than it typically was in the last few weeks (lack of powder??) And as a good friend reminds me, the Daily 200SMA is lingering below.

If a breakdown occurs, we'll know it for sure and look to enter on a retrace.

Fresh Squeezed Daily

A short idea to start the week.

E:8665

S:8855

T:8465

Friday, February 5, 2010

Which way did he go George, which way did he go?

...NFP is lighting the market's crackpipe.

Negative NFP results are weakening the dollar, but initially there was a knee-jerk upward (USD) move due to the news' addition to the already bleak global economy.

Carry-traders are seeing it as positive, as their yield differentials remain, and Bears are seeing it as negative.

Perfect time to jump ship on a Friday! There's most likely more volatility, but it'll probably be illogical and halt at some unpredictable point in the day.

+152 pips

(week total apx. 260 pips)

2.36 R

NFP on the way.

The open trade is up about 200 pips. Funny thing is I could see that erased in just a few minutes.


We'll see.

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Early NYC morning

...looks like we may see some consolidation ahead of the BOE & ECB decisions tomorrow @ 7am.

Good reason to hit the hay!

Stop adjustment: .8940

Change of Plans

I had to close my open orders last night. We had company while watching the season premiere of LOST.

Unfortunately missed a nice entry.

Went short at market just now.

S: .8960

T: .8570

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Wedgie Adjust

Market's pulled up a bit.

Closed 2nd half for +46 pips.

Selling into today @ .8910

Buying @ .8820

S/L on either will be 50 pips ((.25% risk) the remainder of the 2nd position.)

Half Off

For one reason or another, the market is showing signs of life. I've watched many a 'good' trade go sour so I've closed half the position for a gain of 73 pips.

Stop moved to b/e (adjusted for rollover cost) @ .8908

Monday, February 1, 2010

Update II

S: .8970

E: .8910

T1: .8765

T2: .8570

Update

RBA is leaving rates unchanged.

Price took a lovely dive, so I'm going to take profits on half the position if we can reach .8750 and move the S/L to break even to see if there's some follow through on the down trend. Most expected rates to increase, so this is a bit of a surprise.

Interesting ACM gadget